Reposted from:
http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/1807/527/index.html
The range from the lowest to the highest value of change for all emissions scenarios and all three probability levels (10, 50 and 90%) is shown as the wider range.
Change in mean summer precipitation (%)
|
| 2020s Medium emssions scenario |
| Region | Probability level
|
10%
| 50%
| 90%
| Wider range |
Channel Islands
| –30
| –8
| +17
| –30
| +22
|
| East Midlands | –22
| –6
| +12
| –22
| +15
|
East of England
| –23 | +6
| +12
| –23
| +15
|
Isle of Man
| –20
| –6
| +9
| –20
| +10
|
London
| –25 | –6
| +14
| –25 | +17
|
North East England
| –18
| –5
| +8
| –18
| +9
|
North West England
| –22
| –7
| +9
| –22
| +10
|
| Northern Ireland | –16
| –4
| +7
| –16
| +10
|
Scotland East
| –16
| –5
| +7
| –16
| +8
|
Scotland North
| –14
| –3
| +7
| –14
| +8
|
| Scotland West | –16
| –5
| +7
| –16
| +8
|
South East England
| –25 | –7
| +14
| –25
| +18
|
| South West England | –26
| –7
| +14
| –26
| +18
|
| Wales | –22
| –6
| +11
| –22
| +14
|
West Midlands
| –22
| –6
| +12 | –22
| +15
|
Yorkshire & Humber
| –23 | –7 | +10
| –23
| +11 |
xxx
| Change in mean summer precipitation (%) |
| 2050s Medium emssions scenario |
| Region | Probability level
|
10%
| 50%
| 90%
| Wider range |
| Channel Islands | –47
| –22
| +9
| –49
| +20
|
East Midlands
| –35
| –15
| +6
| –37
| +13
|
East of England
| –37 | –16
| +6
| –39
| +14
|
Isle of Man
| –31
| –15
| +1
| –32
| +8
|
London
| –39
| –18
| +7
| –41
| +16
|
North East England
| –29
| –14 | +1
| –30
| +7
|
North West England
| –34
| –17
| +1
| –36
| +8
|
| Northern Ireland | –26
| –12
| +3
| –27
| +8
|
Scotland East
| –26 | –12
| +1
| –27
| +6
|
Scotland North
| –23
| –10
| +2
| –23
| +6
|
| Scotland West | –26 | –12
| +1
| –27
| +6
|
South East England
| –40
| –18
| +7
| –42
| +16
|
| South West England | –41
| –19
| +7
| –43
| +16
|
| Wales | –36
| –16
| +6
| –38
| +13
|
West Midlands
| –36 | –16
| +6
| –38
| +14
|
Yorkshire & Humber
| –35
| –17
| +1
| –37
| +9 |
vvv
| Change in mean summer precipitation (%) |
| 2080s Medium emssions scenario |
| Region | Probability level
|
10%
| 50%
| 90%
| Wider range |
Channel Islands
| –55
| –27
| +8 | –64
| +16
|
| East Midlands | –42
| –19
| +6
| –50
| +11
|
East of England
| –44
| –20
| +6
| –52
| +11
|
Isle of Man
| –38
| –19
| +1
| –45 | +4
|
London
| –46
| –22
| +7
| –55
| +7
|
North East England
| –35
| –17
| +1
| –42
| +3
|
North West England
| –42
| –21
| 0
| –50
| +4
|
| Northern Ireland | –32
| –14
| +3
| –38
| +6
|
Scotland East
| –32
| –16
| +1
| –39
| +11
|
Scotland North
| –28
| –11
| +4
| –35
| +5
|
| Scotland West | –32 | –15
| +1
| –38
| +3
|
South East England
| –47
| –22
| +7
| –55
| +13
|
| South West England | –49
| –23
| +6
| –57
| +13
|
| Wales | –42
| –20 | +5
| –51
| +11
|
West Midlands
| –43
| –20
| +6
| –51
| +11
|
Yorkshire & Humber
| –43
| –22
| +1
| –51
| +16 |
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